Thursday, September 12, 2013
North Korea's Yongbyon reactor 'nearing operation'
Steam has been seen rising from North Korea's
Yongbyon nuclear facility, suggesting that the
reactor has been restarted, a US institute says.
The colour and volume of the steam indicated that
the reactor was in or nearing operation, the institute
said.
Pyongyang vowed to restart facilities at its main
Yongbyon nuclear complex in April, amid high
regional tensions.
The reactor can produce plutonium, which North
Korea could use to make nuclear weapons.
Analysts believe North Korea already possesses
between four and 10 nuclear weapons, based on
plutonium produced at the Yongbyon reactor prior to
mid-2007, when the facility was closed down.
Yongbyon nuclear facility 31 August 2013
The report, which was published on the 38 North
website on Wednesday, was written by the US-Korea
Institute at Johns Hopkins University. The institute
uses satellite imagery to monitor developments in
North Korea.
The reactor uses steam turbines to generate
electricity, and the steam seen in satellite imagery
from 31 August indicated that the electrical system
was about to come online, the report said.
"The reactor looks like it either is or will within a
matter of days be fully operational, and as soon as
that happens, it will start producing plutonium,"
report author Jeffrey Lewis told the BBC.
"They really are putting themselves in a position to
increase the amount of material they have for
nuclear weapons, which I think gives them a little bit
of leverage in negotiations, and adds a sense of
urgency on our part," he added.
The five megawatt reactor can produce spent fuel
rods that can be made into plutonium, which experts
believe North Korea used for its nuclear tests in 2006
and 2009. North Korea conducted its third and most
recent test in February, but it is not clear whether
plutonium or uranium was used.
In a November 2010 report following a visit to
Yongbyon, US scientist Siegfried Hecker said that
based on what he saw, he believed North Korea could
"resume all plutonium operations within
approximately six months" at Yongbyon, then shut
down, if so inclined.
Analysts at the Institution for Science and
International Security, a think tank, said it would take
a considerable amount of time before North Korea
could use any new plutonium in nuclear weapons.
"Given that North Korea will likely need two-three
years before it discharges irradiated fuel containing
plutonium and another six to 12 months to separate
the plutonium, there remains time to negotiate a
shutdown of the reactor before North Korea can use
any of this new plutonium in nuclear weapons," it
said in a report.
Analysts say the reactor can produce 6kg (13 lbs) of
plutonium a year - enough to make one to two
nuclear bombs, the BBC's Lucy Williamson in Seoul
reports.
Both the US State Department and South Korea's
National Intelligence Service have declined to
comment directly on the report, saying they do not
comment on intelligence matters, AP news agency
reported.
North Korea closed the Yongbyon reactor in July 2007
as part of a disarmament-for-aid deal.
The cooling tower at the facility was later destroyed,
but then the disarmament deal stalled, partly
because the US did not believe Pyongyang was fully
disclosing all of its nuclear facilities.
In 2010, North Korea unveiled a uranium enrichment
facility at Yongbyon to Mr Hecker.
Mr Hecker said that while the facilities appeared to
be for electricity generation purposes, it could be
readily converted to produce highly-enriched
uranium for bombs.
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